Variant allele frequency in baseline circulating tumour DNA to measure tumour burden and to stratify outcomes in patients with RAS wild-type metastatic colorectal cancer: a translational objective of the Valentino study

Paolo Manca, Salvatore Corallo, Sara Lonardi, Giovanni Fucà, Adele Busico, Alberto Giovanni Leone, Francesca Corti, Carlotta Antoniotti, Letizia Procaccio, Valeria Smiroldo, Margherita Ratti, Roberto Murialdo, Patrizia Racca, Filippo Pagani, Giovanni Randon, Antonia Martinetti, Elisa Sottotetti, Michele Prisciandaro, Margherita Ambrosini, Alessandra RaimondiFederica Morano, Filippo Pietrantonio

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

INTRODUCTION: In patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC), baseline circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) variant allele fraction (VAF) might serve as a surrogate of disease burden and should be evaluated in comparison with CEA and RECIST-defined sum of target lesions.

METHODS: In this pre-planned analysis of the VALENTINO trial, we included patients with RAS wild-type mCRC receiving upfront FOLFOX/panitumumab with available baseline liquid biopsy. CtDNA was analysed by means of a 14-gene NGS panel. For each patient, the gene with the highest VAF in ctDNA was selected.

RESULTS: The final cohort included 135 patients. The median VAF was 12.6% (IQR: 2.0-45.2%). Higher VAF was observed in patients with liver metastases and with synchronous metastases presentation. Patients with high VAF had poorer median OS compared to those with low VAF (21.8 vs 36.5 months; HR: 1.82, 95%CI: 1.20-2.76; p = 0.005). VAF outperformed baseline CEA and target lesion diameter in the prognostic stratification and remained significantly correlated with OS (p = 0.003) in a multivariate model. VAF was not significantly correlated with dimensional response and PFS.

CONCLUSION: CtDNA measured by VAF is prognostic in patients with RAS wild-type mCRC. Response and PFS after an anti-EGFR-based first-line strategy are independent from initial tumour burden.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)449-455
Number of pages7
JournalBritish Journal of Cancer
Volume126
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Feb 2022

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